← Today's free plays · All write-ups
Sabres at Capitals: 1P Over 1.5 (-150)
1st period Sabres 2, Capitals 1
Why we like it
Our strongest 1P Over on the board tonight. The model projects 2.14 first-period goals and gives the Over a 63% chance to cash.
Washington projects 1.16 first-period goals and Buffalo 0.98. Both ways we build it point the same direction: team scoring rates come out to 2.24 goals, and the full-game-based number lands at 2.04.
Free plays record · Weekly results
📬 Free plays, straight to your inbox
Get Saturday's free plays and Monday's weekly recap by email. Free, two emails a week, unsubscribe anytime.
Free plays tracked since Oct 2026. 1 unit risked per play at the posted odds; * = no odds were posted with the line, so standard -110 is used. Results are graded from official final scores. For entertainment and information only. 21+.